May 8th Baseball ... 88-87-12, -2.32 units
955, Miami Marlins, +140
I am obviously a buyer on Nolasco to start this year and he continues to pitch well. His weakness has been the HR allowed (6 in about 41 innings pitched) but that weakness matches up well here.
Even with the new dimensions, Petco is still better than most parks for the flyball pitcher and the Padres are near the bottom of the league in homers and homers off righties (Miami the worst). 3-year-splits show Nolasco as a far better away pitcher than home pitcher. Some concern that the Padres roster has seen him well in the past.
There is no sugar coating the Marlins offense --- they stink --- but one thing that can help a struggling offense is a pitcher who has to try to be fine with his pitches and as a result walks a lot of guys.
Enter Jason Marquis.
Marquis has struggled against his opponents roster, 3-year-splits show a 7-13 home record, and he has walked a lot of guys his last few outings. Sure, he may trust his stuff here more against a Marlins team that might struggle to score playing in a tee-ball game, but the matchup is good.
With this big of a plus sign, I have to take a shot.
For the rest of today's card, follow @Game_Analysts or at http://www.gameanalysts.com
955, Miami Marlins, +140
I am obviously a buyer on Nolasco to start this year and he continues to pitch well. His weakness has been the HR allowed (6 in about 41 innings pitched) but that weakness matches up well here.
Even with the new dimensions, Petco is still better than most parks for the flyball pitcher and the Padres are near the bottom of the league in homers and homers off righties (Miami the worst). 3-year-splits show Nolasco as a far better away pitcher than home pitcher. Some concern that the Padres roster has seen him well in the past.
There is no sugar coating the Marlins offense --- they stink --- but one thing that can help a struggling offense is a pitcher who has to try to be fine with his pitches and as a result walks a lot of guys.
Enter Jason Marquis.
Marquis has struggled against his opponents roster, 3-year-splits show a 7-13 home record, and he has walked a lot of guys his last few outings. Sure, he may trust his stuff here more against a Marlins team that might struggle to score playing in a tee-ball game, but the matchup is good.
With this big of a plus sign, I have to take a shot.
For the rest of today's card, follow @Game_Analysts or at http://www.gameanalysts.com
